Since 2020

The Gold
Supercycle

Why the ancient rock just went from $1,600 to $4,000+.

Structural Shift

The Whales Entered the Chat

Post-2022, Central Banks stopped selling and started panic-buying.

  • De-Dollarization: Sanctions on Russia scared other nations. If the US freezes Dollars, Gold is the only neutral money.
  • Record Volume: 2022-2025 saw the highest central bank purchases in history.
Neutral Asset Class
ATH Buying Levels
Fear Trade

The World Got
Messy

Gold is the ultimate "Safe Haven." When anxiety goes up, Gold goes up.

  • War Premium: Ukraine (2022) and Middle East conflicts (2023-25) drove investors to safety.
  • Trade Wars: Renewed US-China tariffs in late 2024 created massive policy uncertainty.
Macro Economics

The Stimulus
Hangover

We printed too much money. Now we are dealing with the consequences.

  • Inflation Hedge: The post-COVID inflation spike eroded trust in fiat currency.
  • Debt Spiral: US Debt passed $37 Trillion. Investors are hedging against sovereign debt risk.
Monetary Policy

The Fed
Pivoted

Gold pays 0% interest. It hates high rates. But that changed.

  • Rate Cuts (2024-26): As central banks cut rates to save the economy, the "opportunity cost" of holding Gold dropped.
  • Real Yields: Even when rates were high, Central Banks kept buying. When rates fell, the rocket took off.
The Floor

The Asian
Bid

While Westerners bought Nvidia, the East bought Gold.

  • China: Property market collapsed → Citizens moved savings into Gold Beans & Bars.
  • India: Economic growth fueled massive jewelry consumption despite record high prices.
Recap

Timeline of the Rally

2020-21 COVID Stimulus & Lockdowns
2022 War & Inflation Spikes
2023-24 Central Bank Buying Spree
2025-26 Debt Fears & Rate Cuts